Fortuna Köln vs SF Oestrich-Iserlohn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 3
KÖL
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUT
3 - 2
KÖL
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ABI
3 - 1
KÖL
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
BSC
1 - 0
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 5
KÖL
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
SF Oestrich-Iserlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SOI
2 - 2
GEW
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
WHE
1 - 0
SOI
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOI
2 - 0
ESS
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 2
SOI
76%
14%
9%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 1
SOI
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |