Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
59%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
KÖL
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 0
SWE
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 0
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
WHE
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 0
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |