Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
KÖL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
KLE
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
KÖL
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WHE
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GEW
3 - 2
KÖL
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
ABI
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
MSV
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
KLE
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 2
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |