Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOI
3 - 2
KÖL
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
2 - 3
BSC
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
4 - 0
GUT
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
2 - 1
DSC
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
3 - 3
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 0
GEW
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
WHE
1 - 1
SWE
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESS
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOI
0 - 2
SWE
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 1
GUT
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |