Fortuna Köln vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
3 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 3
WHE
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 2
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |