Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
KÖL
1 - 2
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
HER
4 - 0
KÖL
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SGF
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 1
KÖL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 2
BRE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
SCF
0 - 2
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
SGF
2 - 2
SCF
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
SCF
2 - 0
WWO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1981 |
HAN
2 - 0
SCF
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCF
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |