Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 2
KÖL
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 0
BOC
59%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
FCU
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
ROT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 4
ROT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 3
WHU
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |