Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
F95
5 - 1
KÖL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
BYM
5 - 1
KÖL
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 5
MON
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
76%
14%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HAN
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
ROT
0 - 1
BYM
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1974 |
MON
2 - 2
ROT
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1974 |
ROT
1 - 2
OFC
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
ROT
1 - 1
HSV
54%
22%
25%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
KAI
5 - 3
ROT
65%
18%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |