Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AAA
0 - 1
KÖL
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ERK
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
LEV
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
KÖL
1 - 1
EGE
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
WAT
2 - 2
KÖL
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
ROT
3 - 2
SWE
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
KFC
2 - 3
ROT
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
ROT
3 - 0
ARG
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
ROT
5 - 0
GUT
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |