Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis

Fortuna Köln Rot-Weiss Essen
56 ELO 69
4.9% Tilt 2.7%
2385º General ELO ranking 1057º
98º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
38%
Fortuna Köln
25.3%
Draw
36.8%
Rot-Weiss Essen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.8%
Win probability
Rot-Weiss Essen
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln
-12%
+12%
Rot-Weiss Essen

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln
Rot-Weiss Essen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 1967
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
60%
21%
19%
58 57 1 0
17 Sep. 1967
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
36%
25%
39%
57 69 12 +1
10 Sep. 1967
LSV
Lüner
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
23%
22%
55%
58 39 19 -1
03 Sep. 1967
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 2
Viktoria Köln
VIK
76%
15%
10%
59 48 11 -1
27 Aug. 1967
NEU
Neuss
2 - 0
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
35%
24%
41%
60 52 8 -1

Matches

Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 1967
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
3 - 0
VfB Bottrop
BOT
85%
11%
4%
68 45 23 0
17 Sep. 1967
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
2 - 2
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
43%
27%
30%
69 57 12 -1
10 Sep. 1967
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
2 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
73%
17%
10%
68 56 12 +1
03 Sep. 1967
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 3
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
45%
28%
28%
68 61 7 0
27 Aug. 1967
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
4 - 2
Hamborn
HAM
73%
17%
9%
67 56 11 +1