Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KLE
0 - 0
KÖL
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WHE
3 - 0
KÖL
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 3
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
KÖL
3 - 0
GEW
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 3
ESS
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ESS
0 - 2
ABI
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 0
ESS
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 1
ESS
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ESS
0 - 0
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |