Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 0
KÖL
22%
23%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SOI
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 3
KÖL
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GUT
3 - 2
KÖL
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 0
GEW
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WHE
0 - 3
ESS
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
SWE
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOI
2 - 0
ESS
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESS
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |