Fortuna Köln vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 4
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WEG
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
KÖL
1 - 3
STE
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 3
KÖL
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KÖL
4 - 2
SMA
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
WUP
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STR
3 - 2
RWA
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
3 - 0
GIE
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
HAM
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
ERF
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |