Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
KÖL
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KÖL
2 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROT
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 2
BOR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 3
WIE
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
ROT
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |