Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
WUR
4 - 1
KÖL
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 3
STU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SGS
1 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
KÖL
2 - 1
PRE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SGD
4 - 0
KÖL
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 2
KOL
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERF
0 - 2
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WER
0 - 1
ERF
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ERF
1 - 1
HAL
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 0
ERF
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |