Fortuna Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ZWI
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PRE
4 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
3 - 0
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
VFR
3 - 0
KÖL
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KÖL
0 - 0
FSV
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 1
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VFR
4 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 0
FSV
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 2
SGS
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |