Fortuna Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
F95
0 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
DRE
0 - 1
KÖL
32%
26%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KFC
2 - 1
KÖL
30%
26%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 1
LUB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 5
BYM
13%
21%
65%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 0
DRE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 3
PAD
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 3
KFC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
LUB
3 - 2
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |