Fortuna Köln vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KÖL
0 - 3
WUR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
STU
3 - 0
KÖL
36%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SGS
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
3 - 1
KÖL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
CHE
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WER
2 - 1
MAI
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 0
HAL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ERF
3 - 0
MAI
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |