Fortuna Köln vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
KFC
0 - 2
KÖL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
KÖL
0 - 4
LEV
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
KÖL
1 - 2
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 0
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
KÖL
0 - 0
DRE
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
LUB
1 - 2
ERZ
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
LUB
2 - 2
WAL
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
SAC
0 - 2
LUB
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LUB
1 - 0
TEN
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
EBT
2 - 2
LUB
47%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |