Fortuna Köln vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
KÖL
3 - 2
WUP
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
VFB
1 - 3
KÖL
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
KÖL
3 - 0
STR
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
DUR
3 - 0
KÖL
15%
21%
63%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
DIE
0 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LIP
1 - 1
DIE
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
DIE
1 - 1
RWA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BOR
2 - 1
DIE
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
VER
2 - 2
DIE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |