Fortuna Köln vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
KÖL
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
KÖL
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WUP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 3
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
WUP
1 - 1
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
DIE
0 - 1
SPO
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 3
DIE
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |