Fortuna Köln vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 1
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SPO
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
2 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 2
DIE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DIE
4 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 2
DIE
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IDA
1 - 1
DIE
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |