Fortuna Köln vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
0 - 2
PRE
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HAN
3 - 3
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 2
RWL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
KFC
3 - 1
WHE
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WAT
5 - 1
KFC
45%
23%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
KFC
4 - 0
WAB
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TEN
1 - 4
KFC
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
KFC
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |