Fortuna Köln vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WEH
3 - 0
KÖL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WER
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 3
KÖL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 0
KOL
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SAA
2 - 1
KÖL
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 0
HOL
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
FSV
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
S04
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
HER
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |