Fortuna Köln vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COT
0 - 0
KÖL
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROS
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
KÖL
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VFR
0 - 2
KÖL
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SVS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HOL
5 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
WER
2 - 1
HOL
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 4
HAL
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 0
HOL
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ERF
1 - 3
HOL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |