Fortuna Köln vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 0
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
BSC
3 - 3
KÖL
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
KÖL
0 - 2
EID
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1968 |
ROT
2 - 0
KÖL
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1968 |
KÖL
1 - 1
F95
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
HAM
2 - 0
BSC
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
EID
0 - 0
HAM
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
HAM
2 - 2
ROT
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1968 |
F95
3 - 0
HAM
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1968 |
HAM
0 - 3
SWE
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |