Fortuna Köln vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
2 - 1
DSC
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
3 - 3
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCH
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HAM
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
GUT
0 - 1
GEW
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
WHE
4 - 0
GUT
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GUT
4 - 0
ESS
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 1
GUT
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GUT
4 - 2
SOI
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |