Fortuna Köln vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
KÖL
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BER
0 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 3
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 2
HUL
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GEW
1 - 0
ABI
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
GEW
3 - 0
ESS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 2
GEW
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
GEW
1 - 1
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GEW
2 - 1
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |