Fortuna Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 3
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
WER
1 - 3
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
HAL
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 1
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 3
ERF
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
2 - 0
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WEH
1 - 0
ERZ
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WER
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MAG
0 - 3
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |