Fortuna Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Fortuna Köln Erzgebirge Aue
66 ELO 59
4.3% Tilt 6.2%
2389º General ELO ranking 1260º
99º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Fortuna Köln
20.8%
Draw
15.1%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln
-11%
-13%
Erzgebirge Aue

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2001
SAC
Sachsen Leipzig
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
29%
26%
45%
67 57 10 0
16 Apr. 2001
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 0
Tennis Borussia
TEN
67%
20%
13%
67 56 11 0
11 Apr. 2001
DRE
Dresdner SC
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
67 58 9 0
07 Apr. 2001
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
44%
25%
32%
67 62 5 0
31 Mar. 2001
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 2
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
55%
23%
22%
66 60 6 +1

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2001
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 0
Sachsen Leipzig
SAC
46%
26%
27%
57 58 1 0
06 Apr. 2001
TEN
Tennis Borussia
0 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
51%
25%
25%
56 57 1 +1
31 Mar. 2001
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
33%
27%
40%
55 63 8 +1
17 Mar. 2001
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
3 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
56 60 4 -1
10 Mar. 2001
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
28%
28%
44%
56 71 15 0