Fortuna Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KÖL
4 - 0
TEN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
DRE
2 - 1
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
EBT
1 - 2
KÖL
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
KÖL
4 - 2
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SAC
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
TEN
0 - 1
ERZ
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EBT
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
WAT
3 - 2
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FCU
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |