Fortuna Köln vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
STU
2 - 1
KÖL
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
KÖL
3 - 3
KAI
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1973 |
MSV
1 - 3
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
KÖL
0 - 2
KOL
20%
24%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
EIN
4 - 2
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
BOC
0 - 1
BYM
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
MON
2 - 0
BOC
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
HSV
5 - 0
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1973 |
F95
1 - 1
BOC
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
BOC
0 - 0
STU
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |