Fortuna Köln vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
WUP
3 - 1
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ARB
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
NEU
3 - 3
KÖL
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HAM
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
ROT
4 - 0
KÖL
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
BOC
7 - 0
BSC
88%
9%
3%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
EID
0 - 4
BOC
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
BOC
2 - 1
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
F95
1 - 2
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
BOC
3 - 0
SWE
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |