Fortuna Köln vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
DAR
2 - 0
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
PRE
0 - 0
KÖL
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
KÖL
0 - 1
HES
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
WAT
2 - 0
KÖL
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
BAY
0 - 2
WAT
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
BAY
2 - 2
SAA
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
AAA
2 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
BAY
1 - 0
EBT
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 0
BAY
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |