Fortuna Köln vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
WAL
2 - 2
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
KÖL
0 - 2
AAA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
FRE
3 - 2
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 2
USO
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
OSN
2 - 2
KÖL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
BAY
0 - 6
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
SGF
2 - 2
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
BAY
2 - 2
WWO
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
HAN
3 - 1
BAY
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
BAY
1 - 2
S04
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |