Fortuna Köln vs SV Babelsberg 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 1
KÖL
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
TEN
0 - 1
KÖL
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
KÖL
1 - 0
EBT
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
WAT
2 - 2
KÖL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SV Babelsberg 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
BAB
2 - 1
ERZ
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SAC
1 - 1
BAB
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
BAB
2 - 1
TEN
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
EBT
0 - 0
BAB
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
BAB
4 - 0
WAT
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |