Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DIE
2 - 2
KÖL
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 0
KÖL
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
KÖL
2 - 3
WIE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KFC
1 - 1
KÖL
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 2
AAA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 2
WUP
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
DIE
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
AAA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |