Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
KSC
2 - 1
KÖL
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
KÖL
1 - 1
HAN
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
KÖL
1 - 1
FCN
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
M05
0 - 0
KÖL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
AAA
2 - 1
OFC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 1
AAA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
AAA
1 - 1
MON
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2000 |
TEN
1 - 2
AAA
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
AAA
0 - 1
BOC
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |