Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
EBT
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ROT
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1990 |
KÖL
2 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
OSN
2 - 2
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCF
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
AAA
1 - 3
WAT
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1990 |
AAA
2 - 1
BWB
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
SAA
0 - 0
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
AAA
2 - 2
HES
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
AAA
2 - 0
EBT
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |