Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
F95
3 - 1
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
USO
2 - 2
KÖL
44%
23%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
1 - 2
S04
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
3 - 1
MEP
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 0
HER
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
LAN
1 - 2
AAA
9%
19%
72%
|
78 | 22 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 0
AAA
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 1
OSN
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
DAR
0 - 1
AAA
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |