Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
0 - 1
KÖL
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 3
HOM
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
EBT
0 - 0
KÖL
47%
24%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
KÖL
3 - 0
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
SVS
3 - 0
KÖL
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 3
MSV
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 0
OSN
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 1
MSV
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |