Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
4 - 2
KÖL
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 3
KSC
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
SCF
0 - 0
KÖL
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 1
MSV
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
HAN
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AAA
5 - 1
HAN
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
DAR
3 - 1
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 1
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
KSC
1 - 0
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 1
SCF
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |