Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
ARB
3 - 0
KÖL
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
KÖL
3 - 0
DSC
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
TSN
1 - 2
KÖL
34%
21%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
USO
1 - 2
KÖL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
KÖL
2 - 1
AHA
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
AAA
1 - 1
VIK
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
RWL
2 - 1
AAA
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
AAA
0 - 0
HAN
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
PRE
0 - 1
AAA
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
AAA
3 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |