Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
SWE
3 - 2
KÖL
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 2
OSN
60%
21%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BSC
2 - 3
KÖL
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
4 - 1
WHE
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
KÖL
1 - 0
PRE
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 0
LEV
64%
21%
14%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
WOL
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 1
ARB
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SKW
0 - 2
AAA
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
AAA
5 - 0
WHE
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |