Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCN
1 - 0
KÖL
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 4
WUP
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
TEN
3 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WAB
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 1
DJK
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
WAT
3 - 1
AAA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
AAA
1 - 2
BVB
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ISC
2 - 0
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
FCM
0 - 0
AAA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |