Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BAR
0 - 3
KÖL
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ARB
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
OSN
0 - 2
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ISC
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
AAA
1 - 3
HAN
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
AAA
3 - 1
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
AAA
2 - 2
KFC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
FCM
2 - 4
AAA
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
AAA
8 - 1
SWE
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |