Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
ERK
0 - 0
KÖL
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
KÖL
1 - 0
LEV
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
BYM
6 - 0
KÖL
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
EGE
3 - 1
KÖL
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WAT
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
AAA
2 - 2
SWE
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
KFC
1 - 2
AAA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
PRE
1 - 1
AAA
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
AAA
5 - 0
GUT
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |