Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 0
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 3
ABI
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AAA
0 - 1
HUL
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
AAA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
AAA
5 - 0
HUL
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 1
WHE
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |