Fortuna Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
LUN
1 - 3
KÖL
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
KÖL
0 - 3
LUB
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
KFC
0 - 2
KÖL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
KÖL
0 - 4
LEV
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
KÖL
1 - 2
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FCU
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
SAC
2 - 0
FCU
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
FCU
3 - 1
TEN
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
FCU
2 - 0
ROT
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
EBT
0 - 0
FCU
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |