Fortuna Köln vs 1. FC Mülheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
OWI
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
WAT
0 - 0
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
EIN
4 - 2
KÖL
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
KÖL
4 - 1
DJK
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
FCM
2 - 2
HAN
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
FCM
0 - 0
ISC
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
ARB
1 - 0
FCM
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
FCM
1 - 0
WAB
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
KFC
2 - 1
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |