Fortuna Köln U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
RWO
2 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
2 - 0
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARM
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
BOC
11%
18%
72%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ESS
5 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
DUI
1 - 2
PRE
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
DUI
2 - 4
SCH
7%
14%
80%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ESS
3 - 0
DUI
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 2
DUI
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DUI
1 - 2
MON
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |